One week after the presidential debate between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump, the 2024 presidential race in three critical battleground states shows Harris leading Trump in Pennsylvania, holding a slight lead in Michigan, and the two candidates essentially tied in Wisconsin, according to Quinnipiac University polls of likely voters in each of the states released today.
The Hamden, Connecticut-based university’s polling operation found that in Pennsylvania Harris would get 51% of the vote with Trump coming in at 45%, and third-party candidates Jill Stein and Chase Oliver each getting 1%.
In Michigan, Harris scores 50% to Trump’s 45% and Stein’s 2%.
The polling results are closer in Wisconsin, with Harris coming in at 48%, Trump at 47%, and Stein at 1%.
Quinnipiac found that the race is competitive on most issues. Likely voters were asked who they think would do a better job handling five issues: the economy; immigration; preserving democracy; abortion; and handling a crisis that would put the U.S. at great risk.
On the economy, in Pennsylvania 50% favored Trump, while 48% percent say Harris is better. In Michigan, 50% say Trump, while 48% say Harris. In Wisconsin, 51% say Trump, while 47% say Harris is better.
On immigration, in Pennsylvania 50% say Trump would do better while 46% favor Harris. In Michigan, 49% say Trump, while 48% say Harris. In Wisconsin, 52% say Trump would do a better job of handling immigration while 45% favor Harris.
Preserving democracy in the U. S., in all three states voters give Harris the lead, by seven points in Pennsylvania, six points in Michigan and three points in Wisconsin.
Harris trounces Trump when it comes to the issue of abortion and reproductive rights. In Pennsylvania, she wins by 19 points, in Michigan by 11 points and in Wisconsin by 13 points.
When it comes to handling a crisis that puts the country at great risk, Harris again beat Trump with 49% of voters in Pennsylvania favoring Harris to handle a crisis versus 47% for Trump. In Michigan it’s 51% for Harris and 47% for Trump and in Wisconsin Harris wins 49% to Trump’s 48%.
“Three crucial swing states wave a red flag at the Trump campaign,” said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy. “The GOP’s most ‘go to’ attack strategies against Democrats on immigration and the economy may be losing momentum.”
The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts independent, non-partisan national and state polls on politics and issues. Surveys are done with interviewers calling voters on landlines and cell phones.
