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New Quinnipiac poll: election still too close to call

Peter Katz by Peter Katz
September 24, 2024
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With 41 days until Election Day, a new Quinnipiac poll has been released covering the contest between Vice President Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. Prepared by pollsters at Quinnipiac University in Hamden, Connecticut, the data show that the presidential race remains too close to call. Trump receives 48% support among likely voters while Harris receives 47%. Green Party candidate Jill Stein and Libertarian Party candidate Chase Oliver each receive 1%.

Quinnipiac University’s August 29 poll, following the Democratic National Convention, also found that the presidential race was too close to call. Harris received 49% support, Trump received 47%, and Stein and Oliver each received 1%

Part of the Quinnipiac campus in Hamden, Connecticut.

In the poll released Sept. 24, 93% of Republican likely voters backed Trump, while 94% of likely Democratic voters backed Harris. Among independents, 47% backed Trump, 44% backed Harris, 3% would vote for Stein, and 2% backed Oliver.

In a hypothetical two-way race between Harris and Trump, Trump receives 48% support and Harris also receives 48%.

Enthusiasm for candidates by their supporters changed slightly with 70% of likely voters supporting Harris saying they are very enthusiastic about supporting her, slightly down from 75% who said they were very enthusiastic in August.

With Trump, 71% of likely voters supporting him said they are very enthusiastic about supporting him, compared with 68% in August.

“On the backstretch of the race to Election Day, all eyes are on which candidate can best stoke their supporter’s enthusiasm all the way to the finish line. A slight shift suggests the Harris crowd is not roaring as loudly as it was last month,” said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.

When asked about specific issues, there were clear differences in how likely voters view the candidates. When asked who would do a better job on the economy, 52% said Trump while 45% said Harris. On immigration, 53% said Trump would do better while 45% said Harris. On making decisions about using nuclear weapons, 49% trusted Harris while 47% backed Trump. On preserving democracy in the U.S., 50% trusted Harris while 47% sided with Trump.

Of the likely voters, 37% said Harris would be a terrible president while 41% said Trump would be terrible. A dramatic 64% of likely voters said they wanted to see a second debate between Harris and Trump while 31% said they didn’t want to see the candidates in another debate.

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