With less than two weeks before Election Day, the 2024 presidential election between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump remains too close to call in the swing states – specifically Michigan and Wisconsin, according to the latest Quinnipiac University polls of likely voters.
In Michigan, 49% of likely voters support Harris, 46% support Trump, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein and independent candidate Cornel West each receive 1% support.
In a hypothetical two-way race, Harris receives 50 percent support and Trump receives 46% support.
In Wisconsin, the presidential race is tied, with 48% of likely voters supporting Harris and 48% supporting Trump in a multi-candidate race with all listed third-party candidates each receiving less than 1 percent support.
In Quinnipiac University’s Oct. 9 poll, Trump received 48% support, Harris received 46% support, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein and Libertarian Party candidate Chase Oliver each received 1% support.
This compares to the university’s Oct. 9 poll when Trump received 50% support, Harris received 47% support, and Libertarian Party candidate Chase Oliver and West each received 1% support.
In a hypothetical two-way race, Harris receives 48% support and Trump receives 48% support.
The poll results, which were released Wednesday, also found there is a pronounced gender gap. In Michigan, women (57%-37%) back Harris, while men (56%-40%) back Trump. In Wisconsin, the results breakdown is women (57%-39%) supporting Harris, while men (59%-38%) behind Trump.
“It’s the battle of the sexes and it’s no game,” said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy. “There is a glaring gap in Michigan and Wisconsin between the number of women supporting Harris and the number of men supporting Trump. On Nov. 5, it will all come down to who shows up.”
Michigan U.S. Senate race
In the U.S. Senate race in Michigan, Democratic Congresswoman Elissa Slotkin holds a lead, with 52% support among likely voters and former Republican Congressman Mike Rogers receiving 44% support. This compares to Quinnipiac University’s Oct. 9 poll when Slotkin and Rogers were tied at 48%.
Wisconsin U.S. Senate race
In the U.S. Senate race in Wisconsin, incumbent Democratic Senator Tammy Baldwin receives 49% support among likely voters and Republican challenger Eric Hovde gets 48% support, making the race too close to call. This compares to Quinnipiac University’s Oct. 9 poll when Baldwin received 50% and Hovde received 46%.
