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Marist poll shows Trump ahead in Texas, Ohio, Florida

Peter Katz by Peter Katz
October 10, 2024
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While the latest poll from Quinnipiac University in Hamden, Connecticut, shows that the presidential race in the key states of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin is essentially tied, the latest Marist Poll from Marist College in Poughkeepsie shows that in Texas, Ohio and Florida Trump holds the lead among likely voters. Marist emphasizes that the contests in those states remain too close to call.

Marist College entrance. Photo via Google Maps.

Trump has a seven-point lead in Texas. According to Marist, Trump’s support is bolstered by white voters, men, and an improved standing among Latino voters from four years ago. Harris does better than Trump among Black voters although not as well as Biden did in 2020. Harris has improved the Democrats’ support among white voters. She also leads Trump among women.

Trump leads Harris 53% to 46% among likely voters statewide in Texas. At the same time, 51% of likely voters statewide say they support incumbent Republican Senator Ted Cruz for U.S. Senate. According to the Marist Poll, 46% support his Democratic challenger, Colin Allred.

In Ohio, Marist found that Trump leads Harris by six points. Trump is ahead of Harris among white voters in Ohio as he is in Texas while Harris has the advantage among Black voters. Trump gets 52% of the likely voters while Harris has 46%. Trump won Ohio by eight points, 53% to 45%, against President Biden four years ago.

Marist found that in the race for U.S Senate in Ohio, Democratic incumbent Sherrod Brown receives the support of 50% of likely voters statewide including those who are classified as undecided yet leaning toward a candidate. Republican challenger Bernie Moreno receives 48%. Among independents, Brown has 54% to 43% for Moreno.

In Florida, Marist found that Trump leads Harris By four points. Marist said that she has the advantage against Trump among Black voters, but she is not receiving nearly the same support as Biden did in 2020. Trump leads Harris among white voters and Latinos.

In the race for U.S. Senate in Florida, two points separate Republican incumbent Rick Scott, who has 50% and his Democratic challenger Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, who has 48% among likely voters statewide.

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