Latest Quinnipiac poll: ‘Blue Wall’ shows cracks as presidential race tightens

Quinnipiac University has released its most recent presidential poll for Blue Wall swing states. Photo courtesy of Quinnipiac University

Less than a month until Election Day, the so-called “Blue Wall” battleground states of Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin show a tight presidential race where neither Vice President Kamala Harris nor former President Donald Trump is winning. All three states are too close to call, according to Quinnipiac University polls of likely voters in each of the states released Wednesday, Oct. 9.

In Quinnipiac University’s September 18 poll, Harris held a lead in Pennsylvania, a slight lead in Michigan, and the race was essentially tied in Wisconsin.

“That was then, this is now. The Harris post-debate starburst dims to a glow as Harris enters the last weeks slipping slightly in the Rust Belt,” said Quinnipiac University polling analyst Tim Malloy.

In Pennsylvania, 49 percent of likely voters support the Democrat Kamala Harris, 46 percent support the Republican Trump, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein and Libertarian Party candidate Chase Oliver each receive 1 percent support.

This compares to Quinnipiac University’s September 18 poll when Harris led with 51 percent support, Trump received 45 percent support, and Stein and Oliver each received 1 percent support.

In Michigan, 50 percent of likely voters support Trump, 47 percent support Harris, and Libertarian Party candidate Chase Oliver and independent candidate Cornel West each receive 1 percent support.

In September, Harris received 50 percent support, Trump received 45 percent support, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein received 2 percent support.
In Wisconsin, 48 percent of likely voters support Trump, 46 percent support Harris, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein and Libertarian Party candidate Chase Oliver each receive 1 percent support.

In September, Harris received 48 percent support, Trump received 47 percent support, and Stein received 1 percent support.

From Oct. 3-Oct. 7, the Quinnipiac University Poll surveyed:

  • 1,412 likely voters in Pennsylvania with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percentage points;
  • 1,007 likely voters in Michigan with a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percentage points;
  • 1,073 likely voters in Wisconsin with a margin of error of +/- 3.0 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Doug Schwartz, Ph.D. since 1994, conducts independent, non-partisan national and state polls on politics and issues. Surveys adhere to industry best practices and are based on random samples of adults using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones.